According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi’s prediction market currently implies just a 10% chance that the S&P 500 will cross above 7,000 in 2025. Source: @StockMKTNewz; Kalshi. On Kalshi, Yes contract prices map directly to market-implied probabilities, so a 10% probability corresponds to roughly $0.10 per contract. Source: Kalshi. Crypto traders track these equity odds because Bitcoin has shown increased correlation with U.S. equities since 2020, making equity risk signals relevant for digital asset sentiment. Source: IMF 2022; BIS 2022.

According to Evan (@StockMKTNewz) on Twitter, the S&P 500 experienced one of its best trading days in 2025, signaling heightened investor confidence in traditional equities. This robust stock market rally may prompt a temporary rotation of capital out of riskier crypto assets, as traders seek to capitalize on equity gains. Historically, major equity index surges like this have resulted in short-term volatility for Bitcoin and altcoins, as observed in previous cycles (Source: @StockMKTNewz, May 12, 2025). Crypto traders should monitor correlations between S&P 500 movements and digital asset price actions for potential trading opportunities.